Premier League Match Predictions | Opta Analyst

With the help of supercomputer Opta, we provide our Premier League match predictions for every game in every matchweek of the 2025-26 season.


Once again, the Opta supercomputer will be with us every step of the way, with the projection model providing data-driven predictions for all Premier League matches and season results.

Our AI-powered supercomputer has proven rather prescient in 2024-25 and has also caught plenty of eyes throughout 2025-26 as we enjoy another exciting Premier League campaign.

Continue reading as Opta Analyst provides its Premier League match predictions for the next day.

34th day

Supercomputer Opta has delivered its match predictions for another round of fixtures, as the Premier League run-in continues to gather momentum.

Three midweek games – moved due to the FA Cup semi-finals – have already shaken things up, with Manchester City, who beat Arsenal last weekend, moving ahead of the Gunners at the summit after beating Burnley on Wednesday, who relegated the Clarets in the process.

Brighton & Hove Albion have wreaked more misery on Chelsea and pushed them down the table, prompting Liam Rosenior to be sacked on Wednesday. Bournemouth then also moved above the Blues after a draw with Leeds United, who moved closer to safety with a late equalizer on the south coast.

The rest of the MD34 will see matches played on Friday, Saturday and Monday in another bumper deal which could have implications at both ends of the table.

Sunderland still have an outside chance of making it to Europe and face relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest on Friday, with Vitor Pereira’s side needing another win to keep them out of danger.

Aston Villa can tighten their grip on a top-five place against Fulham on Saturday, before Tottenham travel to Wolves in search of their first win of 2026, and Liverpool will look to make it three straight league wins when they host Crystal Palace.

Arsenal can regain top spot with victory over Newcastle United in Saturday’s final game, before the weekend ends with Manchester United’s clash against Brentford on Monday.

Let’s take a look at the match predictions from supercomputer Opta ahead of another intriguing list of Premier League fixtures.

Premier League predictions, matchday 34: quick hits

  • Arsenal expect to return to the top of the Premier League, with their 68.4% win probability against Newcastle United the highest of any team this weekend.
  • Man Utd, Aston Villa and Liverpool were also expected to pick up wins that would take them closer to Champions League qualification this weekend.
  • Tottenham Hotspur backed to secure the much-needed three points, which would be their first win of 2026.

Friday April 24

The action begins Friday, with Sunderland facing Nottingham Forest at the Stadium of Light.

Forest came back from a goal down to beat Burnley 4-1 last week, with Morgan Gibbs-White’s hat-trick leading them to a big win that did wonders for their hopes of avoiding relegation.

According to supercomputer Opta, they have just a 4.3% chance of qualifying for the Championship, and that figure will drop further if they manage to record a third win in the space of four games – they have won just two of their previous 14 (D5 L7).

Sunderland, who still have hopes of European qualification, have never won a Premier League match on a Friday (P3, D2, L1), the only day of the week where they have not yet won.

The Black Cats are slight favourites, with a win probability of 39.2% to Forest’s 34.2%, but at 26.6% this match is most likely to finish level on matchday 34.

Saturday April 25

During Saturday’s kickoff, Villa Aston go to Craven Cottage to deal Fulhambuoyed by a dramatic 4-3 win over Sunderland last time out.

Villa boss Unai Emery has won all eight of his Premier League games against Fulham – only Pep Guardiola has a better 100% record against a single opponent in the competition (12/12 vs Fulham, 10/10 vs Watford).

Striker Ollie Watkins should also enjoy this game, having scored six goals in nine Premier League matches against Fulham – he only has more against Brighton (9) and Arsenal (7).

Fulham, meanwhile, have failed to score in four of their last five Premier League matches, as many as in their previous 25 combined, while they have also lost their last six league matches against Villa.

So it’s no surprise that Villa are favorites with a win probability of 43.1% – the highest of any away team this weekend. Fulham’s prospects are rated at 31.6%.

Liverpool continued their Champions League exit to Paris Saint-Germain by moving closer to a return to UEFA’s flagship competition with a very late victory against rivals Everton on Sunday, thanks to Virgil van Dijk’s winning goal in the 100th minute.

Although Arne Slot’s men look relatively comfortable in fifth place, they know there is still work to do to stay there, with Crystal Palace the visitors at Anfield on Saturday.

Despite a goalless draw against West Ham last time out, Palace will be confident of securing a result on Merseyside given their recent record there. Liverpool are winless in their last three home league matches against the Eagles (D2 L1).

Following their 2-1 win at Selhurst Park in September, Palace are looking to complete the league double against the reigning champions for the first time. They also beat Liverpool on penalties in the Community Shield in August, before knocking a much-changed Reds side out of the EFL Cup with a 3-0 victory at Anfield.

Liverpool have won six of their last 10 Premier League matches and are set to claim a third straight victory with a 59.4% chance of victory. Palace’s probability of winning stands at 19.4%.

Western HamThe team’s Premier League survival remains in their hands, although they will be nervously looking over their shoulders with just two points separating them from the relegation zone.

And the Hammers come up against a Everton The side who saw their hopes of booking a European place dealt a major blow after losing to rivals Liverpool, and supercomputer Opta is struggling to split the two teams here.

Everton have a 37.1% chance of victory compared to West Ham’s 36.6%, while a draw has a 26.2% chance of being the result at the full-time whistle.

And one might expect this stalemate prediction to come to pass, given that each of the last three league meetings between the sides has been drawn, as many as in the previous 24.

West Ham have won just three of their last 17 top-flight matches at home against Everton (D5 L9), including two in their last four matches against them at the London Stadium (D1 L1).

Everton have been impressive on the road this season. The Toffees have won 25 away points in the Premier League (W7, D4, L5), their best in a campaign since 2020-21 (37). However, they have only won three of their last 15 matches in London (5 draws, 7 defeats).

Wolves“Relegation from the Premier League has already been confirmed, but Tottenham Hotspur remain entrenched in the drop zone alongside them and are in desperate need of a victory.

Roberto De Zerbi picked up his first point in charge of Spurs last time out in a 2-2 draw with his former club Brighton, although he was disappointed not to come away with more after conceding a late goal which extended their winless run to 15 matches.

And despite being placed at the bottom of the table, things don’t seem to be getting any easier for Spurs, who have lost their last three away games at Molineux.

They are narrow favorites in an almost too-close encounter, winning 39.1% of supercomputer simulations, compared to Wolves’ 35%, although the hosts are unbeaten in their last six league matches against Spurs (W4 D2).

Rob Edwards’ side have, however, lost 22 Premier League games this season and failed to score in 17 of them. They have a 25.9% more chance of winning at least one point.

Saturday’s action concludes at the Emirates Stadium, with Arsenal are looking to reclaim top spot when they host Newcastle United.

The Gunners have lost two Premier League matches in a row, against Bournemouth and Man City, but are considered the most likely winners by the supercomputer this weekend with a 68.4% chance of victory.

Under Mikel Arteta, Arsenal’s lowest points per game ratio in a Premier League month (over 5 games played) is in April, winning 40 points from 27 games (1.48), but they will be determined to improve on that by completing a league double against the Magpies.

Pressure is also mounting on Eddie Howe, whose side have a 14% chance of winning, having lost eight of their last 11 top-flight matches (3 wins), including each of their last two.

They are also winless in their last 13 league trips to Arsenal (D1, L12) and have scored just one goal in their last nine trips to the Emirates. The Gunners, meanwhile, only need to score once to reach 100 goals against Newcastle.

MD34 Opta Premier League Predictions 2025-26

Monday April 27

The MD34 finishes at Old Trafford on Monday, with Manchester United hoping to take another big step towards Champions League qualification against European pursuers Brentford.

United returned to winning ways with a hard-fought 1-0 win over struggling Chelsea, and are favorites to make it back to back wins, with a win probability of 51.5%.

They haven’t had much luck against Brentford of late, losing their last two league matches against the Bees, more than in their previous 11 (W8, D2, L1).

After beating United 3-1 at the Gtech Community Stadium in September, Brentford are looking to complete the league double for only the second time, having previously done so in the 1936-37 campaign, and have a 23.8% chance of doing so.

However, Keith Andrews’ side, who could move into the top six with a win, have drawn their last five Premier League matches. The last team to record a longer run of draws in the division was Man City in October/November 2009 (7), and there is a 24.7% chance of another draw.


Opta Stats Premier League

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