Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction: Can the Gunners go six points clear in the Premier League title race?

Victory against Fulham at the Emirates Stadium would put Arsenal six points clear at the top of the Premier League and increase the pressure on title rivals Manchester City. We’re looking forward to the match with our Arsenal vs Fulham preview and predictions.


Arsenal vs Fulham: the key stats

  • Arsenal are hot favorites to take all three points, winning against Fulham in 72.1% of Opta supercomputer’s pre-match simulations.
  • Arsenal have scored 17 goals from corners in the Premier League this season, including their winner against Newcastle United last time out – the most any team has scored in a single campaign in the competition.
  • Fulham are one of only two teams to have avoided conceding in the opening quarter of Premier League matches this season, alongside Man City.

Arsenal have a chance to take a six-point lead at the top of the Premier League when they face Fulham at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday.

It was only last week that Manchester City replaced the Gunners at the top as they followed a 2-1 win over Mikel Arteta’s side with a 1-0 win at Burnley.

However, Arsenal beat Newcastle United 1-0 while City were in the FA Cup last weekend, and Pep Guardiola’s side are not back in Premier League action ahead of a trip to Everton on Monday.

The Gunners therefore have the opportunity to put a little pressure on City, who will have two matches in hand, by overcoming Fulham.

This will by no means be easy, as Arsenal have enjoyed a quick turnaround from their Champions League semi-final first leg – a 1-1 draw against Atlético Madrid on Wednesday; They will need to avoid the distraction of having a chance of reaching the final for the first time since the 2005-06 season in the second leg on Tuesday.

It’s an essential part of competing for multiple honors, and Arteta’s side have proven themselves to be a force to be reckoned with on their own turf.

Arsenal have conceded just 11 goals in their 17 Premier League home games this season, only managing to find the net once. The two home matches in which they conceded more than one goal this season were their only defeats (3-2 against Manchester United, 2-1 against Bournemouth).

Eberechi Eze also put in some impressive performances in London, where he scored all seven of his top-flight goals for Arsenal. Only Olivier Giroud (14) and Tony Adams (12) have scored more consecutive goals in the capital since the start of their Premier League careers for the Gunners.

Fulham, meanwhile, have failed to score in four of their last six league matches, dampening their hopes of qualifying for European competition.

However, with sixth-placed Brighton & Hove Albion just two points ahead of them, they will be eager to quickly change form as the campaign reaches its climax.

Harry Wilson will undoubtedly play a vital role if they are to spring an upset, having registered more goals (10) and assists (6) in the Premier League this season than any of his teammates. He is also one of 13 players in the entire division to have played more than 100 passes in the opponent’s box (137) and made more than 100 touches in the opponent’s box (100).

Harry Wilson Goal Involvements for Premier League Fulham

Fulham hope to recover Alex Iwobi from a thigh injury to face his former club, while doubts remain over the fitness of Kevin and Kenny Tete.

Arsenal may be able to call on Kai Havertz and Jurriën Timber, who both missed the semi-final first leg against Atléti, but Mikel Merino is still out with a foot problem.

Arsenal v Fulham Face to face

History is indeed on Arsenal’s side in this match; The Gunners have not lost in 32 home league matches against Fulham (25 wins, 7 draws), which represents the most unbeaten matches in the history of the English Football League.

Additionally, Fulham have never won a Premier League away game against the leaders in 13 attempts, drawing three and losing 10. This is their first trip to the team at the top since the 2-2 draw at Liverpool in December 2024.

The Cottagers have won just one of their last 15 top-flight matches against Arsenal (D4 L10) – a 2-1 home win in December 2023 denied Arteta’s side the chance to finish the year top of the table.

Arsenal v Fulham Prediction

It is difficult to forget Arsenal, who won in 72.1% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Fulham face it with a win probability of just 11.9% – lower than the 16% chance of the spoils being shared.

Arsenal vs Fulham Prediction May 2026

Arsenal v Fulham Planned lineups

Arsenal: David Raya, Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Declan Rice, Martín Zubimendi, Noni Madueke, Martin Ødegaard, Gabriel Martinelli, Viktor Gyökeres.

Head coach: Mikel Arteta

Fulham: Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, Joachim Andersen, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Sander Berge, Sasa Lukic, Harry Wilson, Emile Smith Rowe, Samuel Chukwueze, Raúl Jiménez.

Head coach: Marco Silva

Opta power ranking

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 national football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the lowest ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off at the Emirates Stadium this weekend, here are the Opta Power rankings for both teams.


Opta Stats Premier League

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